Posts Tagged ‘Technical Analysis’

How do we know when

to go against Bonzo (aka: the crowd)

and be a Contrarian Investor?

Thinking Monkey

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently providing us with a classic case to use as a teaching tool.  ;-)

The Dow is telling us that it most likely will go DOWN.  It is signaling this with a technical formation called a “Head and Shoulders Top

Before you look at the current Dow chart please read from the classic description in Edward’s and Magee’s Technical Analysis of Stock Trends.  Start with the paragraph below the titled – The Head-and-Shoulders.

Page50Ok, now  please  read one more page and review the sample chart.  ;-)

Page51

And now the Dow

Dow HnS top

And how do we know

that the Dow will probably break through the neckline

and enter an intermediate size decline?

WE can get a pretty good idea from the current message being telegraphed to us from the Dow Bullish Percentage Index (aka BPI).

Percent Dow Bullish Jun 26 09As can be seen on the above chart the Dow has been selling in overbought territory for almost a month.

Watch for a breach of the 8200 Dow level.  If the Dow penetrates the neckline at the 8200 level it will decline much further.

There are a wide variety of ways to participate in this opportunity ranging from the very conservative to the highly speculative.

BUT you need active guidance – Contact Us at Fibonacci Financial.

Do not get the idea that you can trade or make investment decisions from my blog entries.  These are an introduction to my services and do not constitute investment advice.

Save Often and Invest Well mrs

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    Its 1773 and you are invited to attend a secret meeting of the Sons of Liberty at the Green Dragon Tavern to plan a Tea Party. While there, you will learn what a dollar really is. What kind of money was in the pockets of colonists and patriots to pay for their grog as they quietly discussed revolution? What did the founding fathers mean when they used the w […]
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    Is silver money? No, but it is a ISO certified currency under ISO 4217. Silver has historically been used as money more than any other item. And now the Silver Phoenix is starting to rise again. Silver has been the little guys way to accumulate and protect wealth through out history. […]
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Ludwig von Mises
  • The History of Capitalism July 30, 2010
    The truth is that capitalism has poured a horn of plenty upon the masses of wage earners, who frequently did all they could to sabotage the adoption of those innovations that render their life more agreeable. […]
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    It's essential for those who believe in a free economy and a free society to know the history of the Great Depression and the New Deal, to know it cold, and to know it better than anyone. […]
    Thomas E. Woods, Jr.
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    One of the United States' most blatant examples of protectionism — so blatant that it is used as an illustration of the idea in some economics textbooks — is its sugar policy. […]
    Gary Galles
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    Sam Konkin opened his publications to every libertarian point of view. At the top of his masthead, in every issue, he proudly printed the statement, "Everyone appearing in this publication disagrees!" […]
    Jeff Riggenbach
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