Fibonacci Financial

Posts Tagged ‘Real Estate’

Go to Cash NOW = Run don’t Walk!

The Commercials have been selling the Stock Indexes for 3 weeks now.  There has been a normal Bear Market retracement of the first leg down in this Bear Market in percentage & Elliot Wave terms.  Now is the time to go to cash.  The next leg down in this Bear Market will be devastating.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average will most likely go well below 6500.

The COT readings in the precious metals and daily sentiment are at a bullish extremes also.  Better prices will be forth coming.  We will add to our core holdings at much lower prices.

Where should you put your cash?  Contact us for tactics.

AGAIN

There are a wide variety of ways to participate in this opportunity ranging from the very conservative to the highly speculative.

BUT you need active guidance – Contact Us at Fibonacci Financial.

Do not get the idea that you can trade or make investment decisions from my blog entries.  These are an introduction to my services and do not constitute investment advice.

When I was directing clients OUT of Real Estate 3 years ago,  THEY thought I was crazy ! 

That is why professional guidance is so important.  NO dear reader, “guidance” from a SALESPERSON doesn’t count.

It is incredibly hard to go against the herd at the proper time or for sales people to go against their commission instinct.

Watch this You Tube and enjoy.

On late night TV they are again saying —-  ” Now is the best  time to invest in Real Estate !”

Are the Real Estate Gurus right?

If the answer to this question  is important for you – Let’s chat

Real Estate ALWAYS goes UP!

But I vas just following everyone’s orders.

Remember, there is a time and season for every  MDD4 quadrant of your portfolio.

What is Real Estate’s season now?  Don’t be a stooge – ask.

This is My Evolving  – Market Decision Dashboard©

(it is at the graphic artists and won’t be ready for a week)

The complete version is a Cube with Risk Levels across the top and Client Profile down the right hand side.  You will be able to click on each underlined item and drill down to specific information.

Click to enlarge

This is a Map of the Markets laid into Quadrants for Asset Allocation purposes.

Please Post Comments – Is it self explanatory OR is it confusing OR do you have questions ???

The Primary purpose of this post is to demonstrate what kind of research supports the asset allocation decisions on the Market Decision Dashboard.

Doesn’t  Real Estate ALWAYS goes up in price.

Wrong! During most of our lifetimes that has appeared to be true because of the constant debasement of the dollar by the Federal Reserve with the approval of congress (primarily responsible), the senate, the president and the “sleeping on the job” supreme court. But the chart below tells the real story in constant dollars.

The following chart is a constant dollar price chart published by Robert Shiller. The average constant dollar price from 1946 to 1998 was 111. The index started at 100 in 1890 and after the recent bubble blow off has dropped back down to 145. But it is still headed down. Dr. Shiller has indicated that Real Estate still has a lot more downside potential – risk.

That is why Real Estate still has a Red Light on the Asset Allocation Model. There is a time and a season for every investment. I will let my clients know when it is safe to get back in to the Real Estate water.

PS:  The Shiller Constant Dollar Residential Home stats and the Case-Shiller Housing indexes are only part of what is monitored to maintain an accurate Map of Real Estate.  Every campaign requires an accurate map of the battlefield.  This is one of the key pieces to success in battle according to Sun Tzu in the Art of War.

If you want a call when Real Estate gets the Green Light, email me:

Michael@fibonaccifinancial.com

PPS: Yes, I know Real Estate is a “Local Phenomenon”. Local market conditions are discussed with clients

PPPS: If you found this valuable or interesting PLEASE let me know !

Michael@FibonacciFinancial.com

But I Thought Housing ALWAYS went UP ;-(

Read All About It

At the Incredible Mises.org

Also just hot off the press – The Commercial Real Estate market crash IS JUST BEGINNING !