Posts Tagged Real Estate
You are standing near a CLIFF!
Posted by Michael R Stoddard in Financial War Room on September 27th, 2009
Go to Cash NOW = Run don’t Walk!
The Commercials have been selling the Stock Indexes for 3 weeks now. There has been a normal Bear Market retracement of the first leg down in this Bear Market in percentage & Elliot Wave terms. Now is the time to go to cash. The next leg down in this Bear Market will be devastating. The Dow Jones Industrial Average will most likely go well below 6500.
The COT readings in the precious metals and daily sentiment are at a bullish extremes also. Better prices will be forth coming. We will add to our core holdings at much lower prices.
Where should you put your cash? Contact us for tactics.
AGAIN
There are a wide variety of ways to participate in this opportunity ranging from the very conservative to the highly speculative.
BUT you need active guidance – Contact Us at Fibonacci Financial.
Do not get the idea that you can trade or make investment decisions from my blog entries. These are an introduction to my services and do not constitute investment advice.
Were You Drinking the Kool Aid 3 Years Ago ?
Posted by Michael R Stoddard in Exploding Neurons on June 12th, 2009
When I was directing clients OUT of Real Estate 3 years ago, THEY thought I was crazy ! 
That is why professional guidance is so important. NO dear reader, “guidance” from a SALESPERSON doesn’t count.
It is incredibly hard to go against the herd at the proper time or for sales people to go against their commission instinct.
Watch this You Tube and enjoy.
On late night TV they are again saying —- ” Now is the best time to invest in Real Estate !”
Are the Real Estate Gurus right?
If the answer to this question is important for you – Let’s chat
Real Estate ALWAYS goes UP!
But I vas just following everyone’s orders.
Remember, there is a time and season for every MDD4 quadrant of your portfolio.
What is Real Estate’s season now? Don’t be a stooge – ask.
Map of Market – Evolving Market Decision Dashboard
Posted by Michael R Stoddard in Financial War Room on April 24th, 2009
This is My Evolving – Market Decision Dashboard©
(it is at the graphic artists and won’t be ready for a week)
The complete version is a Cube with Risk Levels across the top and Client Profile down the right hand side. You will be able to click on each underlined item and drill down to specific information.
Click to enlarge
This is a Map of the Markets laid into Quadrants for Asset Allocation purposes.
Please Post Comments – Is it self explanatory OR is it confusing OR do you have questions ???
Residential Housing – Myth Buster !
Posted by Michael R Stoddard in Financial War Room on April 17th, 2009
The Primary purpose of this post is to demonstrate what kind of research supports the asset allocation decisions on the Market Decision Dashboard.
Doesn’t Real Estate ALWAYS goes up in price.
Wrong! During most of our lifetimes that has appeared to be true because of the constant debasement of the dollar by the Federal Reserve with the approval of congress (primarily responsible), the senate, the president and the “sleeping on the job” supreme court. But the chart below tells the real story in constant dollars.
The following chart is a constant dollar price chart published by Robert Shiller. The average constant dollar price from 1946 to 1998 was 111. The index started at 100 in 1890 and after the recent bubble blow off has dropped back down to 145. But it is still headed down. Dr. Shiller has indicated that Real Estate still has a lot more downside potential – risk.
That is why Real Estate still has a Red Light on the Asset Allocation Model. There is a time and a season for every investment. I will let my clients know when it is safe to get back in to the Real Estate water.
PS: The Shiller Constant Dollar Residential Home stats and the Case-Shiller Housing indexes are only part of what is monitored to maintain an accurate Map of Real Estate. Every campaign requires an accurate map of the battlefield. This is one of the key pieces to success in battle according to Sun Tzu in the Art of War.
If you want a call when Real Estate gets the Green Light, email me:
Michael@fibonaccifinancial.com
PPS: Yes, I know Real Estate is a “Local Phenomenon”. Local market conditions are discussed with clients
PPPS: If you found this valuable or interesting PLEASE let me know !
Michael@FibonacciFinancial.com