Fibonacci Financial

Posts Tagged ‘Fibonacci Financial’

Here Is Change We Really Can Believe In !

Meet Hans Herman Hoppe

First – Karl Menger launched the modern age of economics and solved the “value paradox”.

Second – Ludwig von Mises stood on Menger’s shoulders & advanced economic theory by proving that socialism is impossible because it can’t price resources. Mises also proved that accurate econometrics is impossible because there are no “Constants” in human valuations (just observe the price of gasoline)!

Third – Murry Rothbard took Mises to new levels by providing the moral foundations to a free society.

And Now Hans Herman Hoppe is catapulting our paradigms and maps of what a Free Society should look like to spectacular heights.

Learn From Professor Hoppe For Free!

Almost all his works are available for FREE in PDF format and MP3!

Do you really care about living in a Free Society?  There is only one option (yes it takes some effort) educate yourself, your friends and family.  Fortunately these recorded lectures make it easier .

Heed This – The only way to secure your wealth and that of your posterity is to invest in a Free Society!  Western Civilization is currently in the process of de-civilization.  So roll up your intellectual sleeves and listen to a message of Hoppe. We can reverse this trend and help carry civilization to new heights of freedom and prosperity.  Yes dear reader the future of Western Civilization depends on you.  I don’t provide pablum on this site.  I attempt to provide meat in addition to daily bread.  But at the end of the day it is earned by the sweat of your brow .

Start by downloading the first in a series of 10 Hoppe lectures in MP3 format.

Scroll down till you see the Hoppe radio. 

PS: You will enjoy visiting Dr. Hoppe’s  website.

Drop me a comment and share your thoughts after listening to real Hoppe.

And “Viva La Libertad”.

Where Are We In The Markets and What Should We Do?

Current FF Market Model Allocation?

Category 1 – Cash

Gold and Silver are most likely in a long term up trend that started in 2001.  They peaked in 2008 and are currently working their way down and up and down to the first buying opportunity in several years.  Remember nothing goes staight up or down.  Gold should be buy below $700 and silver should be a buy below $7 (very rough guidance).  The pot at the end of this rainbow is a few months away.

PS: This is supported by Long Term precious metal cycles, Long Term trend lines going back to 2001.  The only caveat is the concern as to how they will be affected by the next killer deflationary wave.  This will be monitored as they come back down to their long term trend lines.  Also there is a chance that I will be wrong about deflation coming next.  If inflation is next the price action in the precious metals will show their hand and we will make the appropriate investment response and buy into strength ala Jesse Livermore.

Cash is KING again.  Long live the King.  The U.S. Dollar was in a bear market for several years up till September of 2008.  It is now in a multi-year bull market.  Yes Washington DC and the Fed are doing everything in their power to devalue it BUT the following factors trump their printing press profligacy in the short term anyway.  First and foremost the massive debt accumulation over the last few years is serving as a massive short squeeze against the dollar.  This now turns into a panic for dollars.  Also, in a fractional reserve fiat money system as debt collapses, a reverse leverage works and money supply in the broad sense implodes far faster than the boyz at the fed and treasury can print it.  Add to that the dollar got way over devalued against other fiat (rag money) currencies such as the euro.

PS: This is supported by Commitment of Trader COT activity, Cycle Studies, Elliot Wave action and Point and Figure chart action.

Yes then there is the Euro.  It was in a bull market for several years and got so overvalued that even famous runway models became financial geniuses.  Now it is just Euro trash for a couple of years – if it survives.  Currency unions are notoriously short lived.  Yes I can hear all of you One World conspiracy theorists howling at the moon!  FYI I have read Tragedy and Hope by Caroll Quigley (heavily annotated)and much more.  Please read The Great Wave by David Hacket Fischer for starters and then lets chat.  If the Great Wave does not get the One Worlders the Singularity will!

Category 2 – Lending (Debt Instruments)

To be continued tomorrow.   Yes dear reader for next few days I will cover a category a day.

Since we are midstream in so many markets, it seemed like a good time to start filling out the FF Market Map.

Stay tuned for more.   And remember most of the time it is best to be patient and let the market provide its bounties in its own time.  Get in a rush and you loose….

As always, if you have questions about Category 1 Cash – please drop me a comment and I will address it manana!

Dear Reader Please Click Over and Check It Out

This is not investment related BUT I am so proud and excited.  I have been working on a new calendar system for a couple of years (one of my many avocations/challenges).  Last night I roughly mapped it on to the Analema.  The result BLEW MY MIND!  To see what entertains your polymath partner…..

Check it out at http://SolsticeCalendar.com/

The Commitment of Traders COT reports from last week show that the commercial traders (the insiders) have been buying gold and silver.  The speculators have still spent most of their available funds so this will not generate a new bull market.  Short term the precious metals are not likely to break down as I had anticipated but will possibly drift higher.  But stay tuned, gold and silver will still be available at much lower prices as soon as the Mini Bailout Bubble exhausts itself. Patience dear reader.  The opportunity is probably 3-9 months down the road.

Your ever vigilant analyst.

PS: If you were watching Silver after I posted the point and figure chart, you noticed it didn’t break down and confirm gold’s break down.  That kind of a non confirmation was an early signal that something had changed.

Stay tuned for more!