Archive for September, 2010

One of several markets we are watching to help answer

the Inflation vs Deflation Outcome

of the current financial crisis is Silver !

Silver PnF Sept 10 2010

In addition to Silver, we are watching to see which way the Stock Market and the CRB index break (see Stock Market Head and Shoulders formation from last weeks blog entry).

But remember the following Fibonacci Financial Mantra :-) :

Save Often and Invest Well mrs

There are a wide variety of ways to protect your assets and profit from this tidal change ranging from the very conservative to the highly speculative.

BUT you need active guidance – Contact Us at Fibonacci Financial.

Do not get the idea that you can trade or make investment decisions from our blog entries.  These are EDUCATIONAL and an introduction to our services and DO NOT constitute investment advice.


Long Term Market Success and Wealth Accumulation Requires Patience

Currently All Markets are in Flux.

(Except recent recommendation to buy the US Dollar)

We are waiting for large declines in Gold and Silver before adding to core positions.

We are waiting for a short term decline then a final advance in the current bear market rally in stocks.  This will give us a final opportunity to liquidate stocks before the next killer decline.

While we wait, meditate on these wise words from the most famous stock trader of all time – Jesse Livermore.

“Cash was, is, and always will be – king. Always have cash in reserve. Cash is the ammunition in your gun. My biggest mistake was not in following this rule more often. Time is not money because there may be times when your money should be inactive… Often money that is just sitting can be later moved into the right situation and make a fortune. Patience-Patience-Patience. Patience was the key to success – Don’t be in a hurry.”Jesse LivermoreHow To Trade In Stocks, 1940.

Save Often and Invest Well mrs

Dear Reader,

At Desk Aug 2010

The Markets have been in a Holding Pattern since late last year.

That’s about to change DRAMATICALLY.

The Stock Market as exemplified by the Dow Jones Industrial Average  (aka: the D.J.I.A.) has been stuck in a trading range roughly between 10,000- and 11,000+.

For the last year the D.J.I.A. trading range market has been forming a potentially OMINOUS Head and Shoulders Top.  This is just a potential until the neck line is broken decisively!

DJIA HnS Top Sept 2010

Remember Summer School over a year ago when we first reviewed the Head and Shoulders Formation? If you need a refresher course,

Go here ;-) : http://www.fibonaccifinancial.com/financialwarroom/if-bonzo-is-buying-then-you-should-be-selling/

When this neck line in the D.J.I.A. is broken decisively,

I believe we will be entering  a very dangerous period of HYPER-DEFLATION.

The Federal Government’s Plunge Protection Team ( aka the PPT) have been very busy!  With the X-Ray vision provided by the COT (Commitment Of Traders) reports we can see that each time the D.J.I.A. is in danger of breaking down, the PPT  jumps in with tones of money and buys the market. If they loose this game (which I suspect they will a la King Canute) the breaking of the neck line will be even more ominous and meaningful. If all the Fed’s horses (fiat money) and all the Fed’s men (Ivy League Whiz Kids – full of hubris) can support the market – there’s a hard rain coming…..

This has real potential of making the Great Depression of the 1930s look like a dress rehearsal. For some interesting insight into the potential magnitude of this HyperDeflation buy The Great Wave by David Hackett Fisher and read the last chapter. (FYI David is not an economist but he is a Pulitzer Prize winning author/historian).

The Great WaveGo here to Amazon.com and buy it!

http://www.amazon.com/Great-Wave-Revolutions-Rhythm-History/dp/019512121X/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1283634769&sr=1-1

To sum up – It’s time to WAKE UP again. Go to Safety! Don’t wait till the D.J.I.A. breaks the Neck Line at approx. 9500

You may still have a couple of months (till after the election), a couple of weeks or only a couple of days !

DON’T WAIT –  ACT NOW !

Have You Missed My Posts ? ;-)

If you have missed my posts while I was on Sabbatical and want me to post more often again

- Please drop me a line. ;-)


Are Your Assets Allocated Properly ?

PortP2


And REMEMBER

Save Often and Invest Well mrs

There are a wide variety of ways to protect your assets and profit from this tidal change ranging from the very conservative to the highly speculative.

BUT you need active guidance – Contact Us at Fibonacci Financial.

Do not get the idea that you can trade or make investment decisions from my blog entries.  These are EDUCATIONAL and an introduction to my services and DO NOT constitute investment advice.


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